Thursday, June 4, 2015

A 380 Full Breakdown: 2015 Stanley Cup Finals



By: Lamar "L.A." Smith

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay was the first team to beat 3 teams apart of the "Original Six" hockey clubs in order to make it to the Stanley Cup Finals and could be the first to beat 4 of the "Original Six" to win it all. A tightly contested Conference Finals which both went the distance have created the necessary momentum to expect none other than a great Stanley Cup Final. Both the Lightning and the Blackhawks clinched their series on the road in hostile environments in Game 7. The Blackhawks won vs. Anaheim after being down 3-2 in the series and Ben Bishop outplayed Henrik Lundqvist at MSG.


 How we got here?
Chicago beat the Nashville Predators in 6 games in the 1st round, the Minnesota Wild in the Conference Semifinals 4-0 and beat the Anaheim Ducks in 7 games including a Game 7 on the road. Chicago's first test was the Nashville Predators who were led by playmaker and sniper Filip Forsberg. After handling the Predators thanks to the heroics by rookie goalie Scott Darling, the Blackhawks faced the Wild who have been dominated by Chicago the last couple of postseasons with each year looking more egregious than the next. Finally they beat Anaheim who was the best team in the West by dominating the Ducks 5-3 in a game where the Blackhawks were up by as many as 3 goals on 2 separate occasions.

Tampa Bay faced a tough road to get to this stage facing the Red Wings, Canadiens and the Rangers. The Lightning faced the Red Wings in a gritty series in which they were down 1-0, 2-1 & 3-2 in the series before winning the last 2 games to move on. The Bolts went up against Montreal in the Conference Semis and their Olympic Gold Medal winning goalie Carey Price. Tampa went up 3-0 in the series before dropping the next 2 and dominating the Canadiens 4-1 in a Game 6 home-clincher. The Lightning was truly tested when they faced the New York Rangers a playoff team which was coming off a series win where the team was down 3-1 and rallied past the Washington Capitals. Bishop recorded a shutout in Madison Square Garden ousting the Rangers and beating Lundqvist one of the best goalies in the NHL.

This year's Stanley Cup Final should be just what hockey fans want to see speed, speed and just in case I wasn't clear SPEED.


Goalies  

One of the hardest things to gauge about these two teams are the goalies. Ben Bishop is the new kid on the block who has been making his name in the playoffs this year and has oddly played his best hockey on the road and not at home. Bishop is 7-3 on the road and has 2 shutouts this postseason which both were vs. the Rangers last round in Games 5 and 7.

Corey Crawford is 2013 Stanley Cup winning goalie and has come up big for the Blackhawks time after time the last few years in the postseason. He struggled early in the first round vs. the Predators and was pulled in favor of rookie goalie Scott Darling who played strong before Crawford got his call again to start.

Bishop is hot and Crawford has shown some vulnerability this postseason so I'll give Bishop the slight edge despite his lack of Stanley Cup  Finals experience over Crawford.


Star Power

The Bolts and Hawks will not be short of stars as the two matchup in what looks to be a long series.

Chicago brings Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews and Patrick Sharp who all are some of the most offensively gifted players in the NHL and have been with the Blackhawks who have been to 3 of the last 6 Stanley Cup Finals including 2 of the last 3. Kane and Toews are both former Conn Smythe Trophy winners proving their meddle in the Stanley Cup Finals. Kane's clinched the trios first Stanley Cup with the series-clinching goal in OT of Game 6 vs the Flyers from a ridiculous angle to win the Stanley Cup. The Hawks also have two of the best play-making defensemen in Duncan Keith and Brian Seabrook which constantly makes Chicago a threat to score.

Tampa Bay rides the back of Steven Stamkos. Stamkos has been the face of the franchise since he was drafted first overall in 2008 and will be looked at to end an 11-year drought and bring back the hardware to The Big Guava. Tampa also has Tyler Johnson who is tied with Stamkos for 14th during the NHL regular season in points. Though Johnson was more of a playmaker with 43 assists during the season to Stamkos 43 goals this season. Although Tyler Johnson has been rolling all postseason with 12 goals which is tied for a franchise record currently and leads all NHL players this postseason.

This series has an abundance of stars with Johnson and Stamkos playing at their best versus the dynamic duo of Toews and Kane. The difference maker is the stellar play in the Stanley Cup consistently by Toews and Kane, and the Blackhawks also have the best defenseman in the playoffs in Duncan Keith. Keith also happens to be a really strong offensive player. Chicago definitely has more stars, therefore the Blackhawks have the advantage.


Power Play

Tampa Bay has scored 16 goals on the power play this postseason. They are led by Ondrej Palat (4 goals) and Nikita Kucherov (3 goals) who have both been very effective on the power play. The team did pretty good scoring on the power play scoring 7 goals out of 22 opportunities which accounted for nearly half the team's power play production in the postseason. Though, the team's penalty kill unit wasn't as effective, allowing the Rangers to score 7/24 on power play chances.

Chicago has scored 10 goals on the power play this postseason. The team is led by Jonathan Toews who has 3 goals and 1 shorthanded goal. The Blackhawks were awful during the Western Conference Finals vs. Anaheim going only 5/26 on the power play. Although, the team also held the Ducks to 3/18 on the power play.

One team was pretty good scoring on the power play. The other wasn't particularly good at scoring during extra opportunity chances. The difference is Chicago's penalty kill unit was spectacular last round in comparison to the Lightning who defended the power play poorly last round. Another tight one but, I give Chicago the slight edge considering the team's ability to kill power plays.


Experience

This is not even close, Chicago has more experience by miles. The team has been to 3 Stanley Cup Finals' in 6 years and 4 Western Conference Finals' in 7 years. The Blackhawks know what to do when the game gets tight and the Lightning will have to play 60 strong minutes on the ice to be crowned the 2015 Stanley Cup Champs.


The Pick

The Blackhawks have the experience and have a strong supporting cast from: Marian Hossa and Andrew Shaw to even guys like Antoine Vermette and Bryan Bickell; someone will step up when the moment comes. Tampa Bay has a hot goalie in Ben Bishop and 2 of the best in the game in Tyler Johnson and Steven Stamkos. But, in a series where home-ice doesn't mean anything and your starting goalie actually plays better on the road, the odds are never in your favor. A high-octane series but, I have Chicago in 6. Game 6 in Chicago will see the Blackhawks clinch the title. Series could go 7 but I doubt the Blackhawks choke.

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